London (AFP) – Oil dipped under $100 Friday, but remained far above pre-Mideast war levels with no end in sight to the disruption in supplies of crude. With the conflict heading towards its third week, equity markets were back in the green, having earlier lost ground amid investor worries about an extended crisis that could fan inflation and hammer the global economy.
“Fears of a burgeoning energy crisis remain front and centre for investors,” noted Joshua Mahony, chief market analyst at Scope Markets. “Inflationary fears are particularly prevalent with each day that passes,” Mahony added. “Crude oil is continuing to dictate direction for markets as we head towards the end of a volatile week…the pressure remains with no end in sight in the Middle East conflict,” said Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with Forex.com.
“Traders are trying to figure out what a fair value for crude oil is right now, given the big release of emergency oil reserves, and the temporary relaxation of sanctions on Russian oil sales that’s already at sea,” said Razaqzada. Major central banks, which prior to the war’s outbreak were heavily forecast to keep on cutting interest rates, are now widely expected next week to freeze borrowing costs or even hike to keep a lid on inflation.
While top economies have agreed to release some of their strategic crude reserves, analysts argue the move does little to address supply blockages. Iran has vowed to attack oil resources in the Middle East and keep choking the crucial Strait of Hormuz. In a further bid to ease the situation, the US Treasury Department said it would temporarily allow the sale of Russian oil that is at sea. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on Friday called that decision “wrong”, claiming it could help fund Moscow’s war against Ukraine.
French President Emmanuel Macron has said that easing sanctions on Moscow — imposed over its war in Ukraine — was “in no way” justified. EU chief Antonio Costa also called the move “very concerning, as it impacts European security”. But Moscow has urged the United States to lift more sanctions on its oil exports, saying it would help to stabilize global energy markets.
On foreign exchange markets, the dollar largely held gains against major rivals owing to its safe-haven status and expectations that US interest rates will remain elevated longer than expected. Next week’s “interest-rate meetings at the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England — and those of several of their global counterparts — come at a delicate time,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould. “Markets will be watching closely for any signals on how they plan to deal with surging oil and gas prices and whether they see it as a short-term bump to look through, or a development that has significantly altered the prospects for inflation and interest rates.”
– Key figures at around 1330 GMT –
Brent North Sea Crude: DOWN 1.6 percent at $98.84 per barrel
West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 2.2 percent at $93.52 per barrel
New York – Dow: UP 0.8 percent at 47,074.26 points
New York – S&P 500: UP 0.5 percent at 6,711.42
New York – Nasdaq Composite: UP 0.8 percent at 22,504.99
London – FTSE 100: UP 0.5 percent at 10,358.74
Paris – CAC 40: UP 0.1 percent at 8,008.40
Frankfurt – DAX: UP 0.6 percent at 23,737.88
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.2 percent at 53,819.61 (close)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.0 percent at 25,465.60 (close)
Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.8 percent at 4,095.45 (close)
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1480 from $1.1514 on Thursday
Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3272 from $1.3346
Dollar/yen: DOWN at 159.25 yen from 159.39 yen
Euro/pound: UP at 86.50 pence from 86.27 pence
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© 2024 AFP
