London (AFP) – European and US stocks resumed sliding and oil prices jumped on Tuesday as traders turned cautious over the prospect of a negotiated agreement between the United States and Iran to end the Middle East war. European and US stock markets had rallied Monday after US President Donald Trump delayed strikes on Iranian energy sites and hailed “very good” talks with Iran.
Asian equities caught up with the strong gains Tuesday, but European stock markets failed to build on the previous session’s surge. In early afternoon trading in Europe, the major bourses were all lower while in New York the three main Wall Street indexes opened lower. Oil prices, which had tumbled on Monday, rebounded strongly with Brent popping back above $100 a barrel.
“The Iran war is not over, and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB. “It will take more conciliatory remarks from Donald Trump to extend Monday’s recovery rally and give hope that the war is close to wrapping up.” Trump on Monday stepped back from his threat to attack energy sites, citing “very good” talks to end the war.
However, Tehran’s parliamentary speaker stated that “no negotiations” were underway, insisting that Trump was seeking “to manipulate the financial and oil markets.” And hours after Trump’s apparent U-turn, Iranian media reported that Israeli-US strikes targeted two gas facilities and a pipeline. “Markets (are) increasingly questioning the validity of Trump’s claim of positive negotiations with Iran,” noted Joshua Mahony, chief market analyst at Scope Markets.
According to the Financial Times and Bloomberg, thousands of oil contracts—a much higher number than normal—were traded fifteen minutes before the president unexpectedly announced a halt to strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure. The economic impact of the war is also becoming clearer, with business activity in the eurozone slowing significantly in March according to a closely watched survey published Tuesday. This slowdown was attributed to the war, which sent energy prices surging and disrupted global supply chains.
The HCOB Flash Eurozone purchasing managers’ index registered a significantly lower figure of 50.5 for March, down from 51.9 in February. A reading above 50 indicates growth. “The flash Eurozone PMI is ringing stagflation alarm bells as the war in the Middle East drives prices sharply higher while stifling growth,” said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, which published the findings.
Iran’s choking of the Strait is also impacting airlines, with Lufthansa, Cathay Pacific, and Air France extending flight suspensions to destinations across the Middle East. Lufthansa shares were down more than two percent, and Air France-KLM was down more than three percent.
– Key figures at around 1335 GMT –
Brent North Sea Crude: UP 2.9 percent at $102.85 per barrel
West Texas Intermediate: UP 3.7 percent at $91.41 per barrel
New York – Dow: DOWN 0.9 percent at 45,844.14 points
New York – S&P 500: DOWN 0.5 percent at 6,547.69
New York – Nasdaq Composite: DOWN 0.5 percent at 21,847.73
London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.4 percent at 9,856.12
Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 0.8 percent at 7,668.10
Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 1.2 percent at 22,394.86
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 1.4 percent at 52,252.28 (close)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 2.8 percent at 25,063.71 (close)
Shanghai – Composite: UP 1.8 percent at 3,881.28 (close)
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1575 from $1.1616 on Monday
Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3372 from $1.3437
Dollar/yen: UP at 158.93 yen from 158.34 yen
Euro/pound: UP at 86.55 pence from 86.45 pence
© 2024 AFP
