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Shanghai stocks gain after stimulus briefing as markets rally

David Peterson by David Peterson
October 14, 2024
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China's teetering real estate market long accounted for around a quarter of its economy and experienced dazzling growth for two decades. ©AFP

Hong Kong (AFP) – Shanghai stocks rose on Monday as traders digested a pledge by China’s finance minister to provide more help for the country’s struggling economy, while most other markets tracked another record day on Wall Street. While a much-anticipated briefing on Saturday failed to deliver a hoped-for overall figure on stimulus, Lan Fo’an did set out plans to boost the beleaguered property sector, ramp up borrowing, and work to get banks lending more.

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Lan said the government would issue special bonds and that it had $325 billion in funds raised that it could deploy in the next three months to achieve its goals. The announcement came at the end of a volatile week for traders, who were left disappointed by a news conference on Tuesday that lacked any new support and barely any detail on a raft of measures unveiled in late September.

The news out of Beijing came a day before data showed Chinese inflation slowed more than expected in September, highlighting the uphill task leaders have in getting the world’s number two economy back on track. Authorities have come under increasing pressure this year to deploy a “bazooka” stimulus as a crisis in the real estate sector shows no signs of easing and consumption remains torpid.

Traders elsewhere in Asia also welcomed another record for the Dow and S&P 500 in New York, cheered by healthy earnings from banking titan JPMorgan Chase, which said the US economy would likely avoid tipping into recession. “Significant measures for resolving local government debt and supporting the struggling property sector were mentioned,” analysts at HSBC Global Research said in a note. “These are much needed for sustainable growth. We expect more details and the crucial fiscal number to be unveiled later this month at the State Council and/or the NPC Standing Committee meeting.”

Investors are now eyeing the release of key Chinese data later in the week, including on retail sales, trade, and economic growth. IG markets analyst Tony Sycamore added: “While the full effects of the recent economic measures may not be immediately evident in the upcoming data releases, these figures will provide more insight into how China’s economy is faring and whether additional actions may be necessary.”

Shanghai climbed more than one percent but Hong Kong returned from a three-day weekend to fall. The markets whipsawed last week, having rocketed more than 20 percent in reaction to the raft of support pledges last month that had a particular emphasis on helping the battered property sector. Harry Murphy Cruise, an economist at Moody’s Analytics, said Saturday’s announcement “ticked most of the right boxes, but it lacked detail on the scale and scope of new spending,” adding that “we expect more supports to be announced through the remainder of the year.”

Among other markets, Sydney, Seoul, Singapore, Taipei, Manila, Mumbai, and Jakarta rose, but Wellington edged lower. London, Frankfurt, and Paris rose ahead of a European Central Bank meeting this week where it is expected to lower interest rates as inflation ebbs and concerns mount over sluggish economic growth.

Oil prices dropped more than one percent as concerns about the outlook for China’s economy offset worries about a Middle East-wide conflict after Israel’s defense minister pledged his country would strike Iran in retaliation for a missile attack this month.

– Key figures around 0810 GMT –

Shanghai – Composite: UP 2.1 percent at 3,284.32 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.8 percent at 21,092.87 (close)

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.2 percent at 8,270.91

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: Closed for a holiday

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0928 from $1.0941 on Friday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3060 from $1.3068

Dollar/yen: UP at 149.35 yen from 149.09 yen

Euro/pound: DOWN at 83.68 pence from 83.70 pence

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 1.6 percent at $74.33 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: DOWN 1.5 percent at $77.82 per barrel

New York – Dow: UP 1.0 percent at 42,863.86 points (close)

© 2024 AFP

Tags: Chinaeconomic growthstock market
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