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Markets stall, inflation and bitcoin rise amid Trump fears

Natalie Fisher by Natalie Fisher
November 13, 2024
in Markets
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Traders are gearing up for the release of key US inflation data at the end of the week, as bets on a September interest rate cut increase. ©AFP

London (AFP) – Global equities stalled Wednesday while bitcoin hit a fresh high as traders fret over the impact of Donald Trump’s presidency on the Chinese and global economies. There are growing fears that his policies may reignite US inflation, which rose according to the latest data.

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The prospect of higher prices stemming from Trump’s planned tax cuts, import tariffs, and an easing of regulations provided fresh impetus to the dollar, which has rallied since the Republican’s election win last week. Adding to concerns regarding the impending transfer of White House power, key US October consumer price data showed a 2.6-percent rise, up from 2.4 percent in September, as reported by the Labor Department.

Although the figure was in line with the median forecast of economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal, the data complicates the US Federal Reserve’s plans to cut interest rates. This remains true even as the Fed is broadly on track to slow the rate of price increases, according to EY chief economist Gregory Daco.

“It’s particularly pertinent given concerns that Trump’s tariff policies will be inflationary,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown. “If prices are already looking unruly, expectations will rise for Trump’s threats to be watered down.”

For Srijan Katyal, global head of strategy and trading services at ADSS brokerage, “this (inflation data) reading has slightly disrupted the disinflationary pattern we have seen in the last few months but continues to remain stable around the targeted level.” Yet, given Trump’s election victory, “inflation worries could return to markets,” Katyal noted.

As inflation edged up, bitcoin, the world’s premier cryptocurrency, soared to fresh heights, topping $90,000 and hitting an all-time peak above $93,400 before easing back slightly. Trump has notably pledged to ease regulation around digital tokens.

With main European indices hardly budging—Frankfurt and Paris lost minor ground while London closed barely ahead—FOREX.com analyst Fawad Razaqzada suggested that “this week’s US inflation data may impact Wall Street but will likely have limited implications for European indices.”

One factor weighing on sentiment in Europe is the political uncertainty in Germany, which faces elections in February. On Wall Street, the Dow stood 0.4 percent in the green two hours into the session as traders digested the inflation data, though the tech-heavy Nasdaq was flat.

Asian markets mostly ended lower as Trump named known China hawks to key cabinet positions, fuelling concerns about another debilitating trade war between the economic superpowers.

– Key figures around 1645 GMT –

New York – Dow: UP 0.4 percent at 44,101.90 points

New York – S&P 500: UP 0.2 percent at 5,997.42

New York – Nasdaq Composite: FLAT at 19,286.38

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.1 percent at 8,030.33 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 0.1 percent at 7,216.83 (close)

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.2 percent at 19,003.11 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.7 percent at 38,721.66 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.1 percent at 19,823.45 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.5 percent at 3,439.28 (close)

Dollar/yen: UP at 155.19 yen from 154.59 yen on Tuesday

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0570 from $1.0625

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2714 from $1.2748

Euro/pound: DOWN at 83.13 pence from 83.34 pence

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.1 percent at $71.99 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.1 percent at $68.20 per barrel

© 2024 AFP

Tags: Donald TrumpinflationUS economy
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