Stocks recover but tariff uncertainty lingers over market ~ EconomyLens.com

New York (AFP) – Stock markets managed to push higher on Tuesday but investors braced for volatility as President Donald Trump pressed on with tariffs against China after delaying duties on Mexican and Canadian imports. Beijing said it was imposing levies on imports of US energy, vehicles, and equipment after Trump’s 10 percent tariffs came into effect.

But Art Hogan of B. Riley Wealth said markets were taking a wait and see view of Trump’s trade policy given the pullback on Mexico and Canada, while regarding earnings as “a positive tailwind.” All three US indices finished higher after a sluggish start. The hesitant trading came after heavy selling Monday following Trump’s weekend announcement of the tariffs, before later offering a reprieve for the United States’ closest neighbors.

Investors also tracked mixed earnings from major companies — including alcoholic drinks giant Diageo, which scrapped a key performance target as it predicted sales of tequila and Canadian whisky in the key US market would be hit by the tariffs. In the United States, PepsiCo slumped after it reported flat quarterly sales while the soda and snacks giant worked to address “subdued” demand in North America and faced “business disruptions due to geopolitical tensions in certain international markets.”

But Palantir Technologies piled on more than 20 percent after reporting a 36 percent increase in revenues based on artificial intelligence growth as its CEO described Palantir as a “software juggernaut.” Indexes from Japan to New York were sent tumbling Monday after news at the weekend that Trump had signed off 25 percent duties against Mexico and Canada, fanning concerns for the stuttering global economy. Hours before the tariffs were due to kick in, Trump said he would postpone the measures until March.

“A risk is that this is the beginning of a tit-for-tat trade war, which could result in lower GDP growth everywhere, higher US inflation, a stronger dollar and upside pressure on US interest rates,” said Stephen Dover, chief market strategist and head of Franklin Templeton Institute. “The uncertainty surrounding the permanence of these tariffs makes it challenging for companies to make informed capital investment decisions,” he added.

Trump has warned that the European Union would be next in the firing line and has not ruled out tariffs against Britain. The volatile start to February on markets follows their roller-coaster ride last week after China’s DeepSeek unveiled a cheaper artificial intelligence model rivalling those of US tech giants, sparking questions over the vast sums invested in the sector in recent years.

“One thing we can say for sure. Markets are going to remain subject to massive headline risk in coming hours…days…and years,” forecast Ray Attrill, foreign currency strategist at National Australia Bank.

– Key figures around 2140 GMT –

New York – Dow: UP 0.3 percent at 44,556.04 (close)

New York – S&P 500: UP 0.5 percent at 6,037.88 (close)

New York – Nasdaq: UP 1.4 percent at 19,654.02 (close)

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.2 percent at 8,570.77 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: UP 0.7 percent at 7,906.40 (close)

Frankfurt – DAX: UP 0.4 percent at 21,505.70 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.7 percent at 38,798.37 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 2.8 percent at 20,789.96 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: Closed for a holiday

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0383 from $1.0344 on Monday

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2480 from $1.2450