London (AFP) – The Dow hit a record high on Thursday despite disappointing earnings from software giant Oracle, reviving concerns over sky-high AI valuations. “Traders are in the mood to recover their bullish stance after yesterday’s Oracle numbers,” said market analyst Chris Beauchamp at trading platform IG. While the blue-chip Dow rose, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both slid lower.
Major European indices ended the day with gains, after Asian markets finished mixed. The Fed delivered its third straight cut to borrowing costs on Wednesday, as widely expected. And while it signalled that it could hold off further reductions in the coming months, the comments weren’t as hawkish as some expected. “Even as investors were reassured by the Fed’s latest rate cut, familiar concerns about AI are still very much top of mind right now,” said Deutsche Bank managing director Jim Reid.
Those concerns were reignited after Oracle reported after markets closed on Wednesday that quarterly revenue had fallen short of lofty expectations and revealed a surge in spending on data centres to boost AI capacity. Shares in the Texas-based company fell around 16 percent as trading got underway Thursday, and only recovered slightly in morning trading. Markets globally suffered a wobble last month with investors increasingly worried over the vast sums poured into AI, with some observers warning of an AI bubble that could burst and cause a market rout.
Russ Mould, AJ Bell investment director, noted that the fanfare around rate cuts had been short-lived. “Investors have shrugged off the Fed’s latest reduction in US borrowing costs as it is becoming harder to guess where rates might go next,” he added. Even Fed policymakers were highly divided about whether to cut rates again in 2026 and if so, how often. But eToro US analyst Bret Kenwell pointed out that Fed Chair Jerome Powell had highlighted the fact that none of the Fed policymakers sees rate hikes in 2026 in their base scenario.
“Keeping rate hikes off the table helps the Fed lean dovish and has investors looking at the next rate cut as a ‘when not if’ scenario, even if it takes several more meetings before the next one is announced,” said Kenwell. “The lack of an outright hawkish tone from the Fed combined with its third consecutive rate cut could pave the way for a potential year-end rally in equities, provided that next week’s macroeconomic data doesn’t derail the recent bullish momentum,” he added. Kenwell also noted that stocks were near all-time highs, which he said tends to be bullish for long-term investors.
The latest cut in borrowing costs — to their lowest level in three years — comes as monetary policymakers try to support the US jobs market, which has been showing signs of weakness for much of the year. The dollar weakened while oil prices fell more than two percent on oversupply concerns. Silver and copper prices hit record highs.
– Key figures at around 1630 GMT –
New York – Dow: UP 1.0 percent at 48,538.45 points
New York – S&P 500: DOWN 0.4 percent at 6,861.84
New York – Nasdaq Composite: DOWN 1.1 percent at 23,396.61
London – FTSE 100: UP 0.5 percent at 9,703.16 (close)
Paris – CAC 40: UP 0.8 percent at 8,085.76 (close)
Frankfurt – DAX: UP 0.7 percent at 24,294.61 (close)
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.9 percent at 50,148.82 (close)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: FLAT at 25,530.51 (close)
Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.7 percent at 3,873.32 (close)
Dollar/yen: DOWN at 155.25 yen from 155.92 yen on Wednesday
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1750 from $1.1693
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3419 from $1.3384
Euro/pound: UP at 87.55 pence from 87.36 pence
Brent North Sea Crude: DOWN 2.1 percent at $60.90 per barrel
West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 2.2 percent at $57.18 per barrel
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© 2024 AFP
