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European stocks, euro stumble on EU vote turmoil

Thomas Barnes by Thomas Barnes
June 11, 2024
in Markets
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The euro fell after far-right parties won big in European Union polls and France's President Emmanuel Macron called a snap parliamentary election. ©AFP

New York (AFP) – Europe’s stock markets and the euro slid Monday after far-right parties performed well in EU elections, prompting French President Emmanuel Macron to call a snap parliamentary poll and plunging the bloc into political turmoil.

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Paris spearheaded the losses, tumbling by more than two percent at one point after Macron announced late Sunday that he was dissolving the National Assembly, the French Parliament’s lower house, and calling a general election.

Both London and Frankfurt also retreated, while the euro fell against the dollar and the pound. US indices finished higher after a choppy session, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq mustering fresh records.

Macron’s political gamble came after far-right parties in France, including National Rally, managed to take almost 40 percent of the vote in France’s EU poll.

Europe’s far-right parties were winners in many places, coming out on top in France, Italy and Austria, while Germany’s AfD came second — but still ahead of Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s SPD party — and the hard-right also did well in the Netherlands.

“The snap election called in France has added to the uncertain tides swirling around financial markets,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at stockbroker Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Investors are assessing Macron’s gamble in attempting to reassert his authority after voters shifted en masse to the far right during the EU elections, in both France and Germany.”

– ‘Sea of red’ –

France will vote for a new National Assembly on June 30, with a second round on July 7, and with the Paris Olympics set to begin on July 26.

“A sea of red has greeted traders in Europe,” added Scope Markets analyst Joshua Mahony on Monday.

“With that initial vote now less than three weeks away, it comes as no surprise to see weakness across French stocks and the euro as traders weigh up this fresh bout of uncertainty.”

Back in New York, much of the focus anticipated Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting. While the Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady, the central bank’s commentary will be analyzed for its implications for monetary policy later in 2024.

Investors are also looking ahead to a key consumer price report, which will be released on Wednesday.

“While there’s no likelihood that there will be any change to rates, the FOMC’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections will be watched closely for insight into the Fed’s thinking on future moves” in the rate, said David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation.

He noted that the CME FedWatch Tool is now pricing in just one rate cut of 0.25 percentage points, with investors split over whether this happens in September or in December, after the US presidential election.

– Key figures around 2040 GMT –

New York – Dow Jones: DOWN 0.2 percent at 38,868.04 (close)

New York – S&P 500: UP 0.3 percent at 5,360.79 (close)

New York – Nasdaq Composite: UP 0.4 percent at 17,192.53 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 1.4 percent at 7,893.98 points (close)

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.3 percent at 18,494.89 (close)

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.2 percent at 8,228.48 (close)

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 0.7 percent at 5,016.48 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.9 percent at 39,038.16 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: Closed for a holiday

Shanghai – Composite: Closed for a holiday

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0767 from $1.0801 on Friday

Euro/pound: DOWN at 84.54 pence from 84.92 pence

Dollar/yen: UP at 157.04 yen from 156.75 yen

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2732 from $1.2719

West Texas Intermediate: UP 2.9 percent at $77.74 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 2.5 percent at $81.63 per barrel

burs-jmb/bfm

© 2024 AFP

Tags: Asian equitiesinterest rate cutsUS economy
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