Global stocks drop as US tariff uncertainty lingers ~ EconomyLens.com

London (AFP) – Global stock markets mostly slipped Wednesday as investors digested conflicting signals from President Donald Trump about his coming wave of tariffs. In New York, the Dow was little changed, but the wider S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq were lower in midday deals. In Europe, Paris and Frankfurt closed down while London edged up as data showed an unexpected slowdown to UK annual inflation.

With the White House’s so-called “Liberation Day” on April 2 fast approaching, investors are bracing for a wave of sweeping levies on imports amid warnings of crippled global trade, recession, and a fresh spike in inflation. However, Trump has alternated between tough talk about imposing tariffs across the board and suggesting he may allow some carve-outs to spare US consumers the full brunt of their impact on prices. The result has been a drop in economic sentiment as consumers expect higher prices.

“All the tariff talk uncertainty has led to a sharp drop in confidence,” said David Morrison, analyst at Trade Nation. The president told Newsmax on Tuesday that he did not “want to have too many exceptions” but added: “I’ll probably be more lenient than reciprocal because if I was reciprocal, that would be very tough for people.” The Conference Board reported Tuesday that its closely watched gauge of consumer confidence dove to its lowest level since 2021 — during the Covid pandemic — as concerns grow over higher prices.

“Recent survey data has painted a gloomy outlook for the US economy. But this pessimism has yet to show up in hard data, such as unemployment, while corporate earnings continue to beat expectations,” Morrison said. The figures come as the Federal Reserve re-evaluates its monetary policy in light of Trump’s tariffs agenda, with some analysts warning it might have to hold off any interest rate cuts this year. The next major clue on its outlook comes Friday with the release of a key inflation indicator.

While almost all European markets fell, defense stocks bucked the trend as one country after another pledged to boost military spending, with Spain and Sweden being the latest to do so Wednesday. France’s Thales, Germany’s Rheinmetall, and Italy’s Leonardo were all sharply higher.

London’s stock market rose after news that the country’s annual consumer inflation slowed to 2.8 percent in February from 3.0 percent in January. The market held onto its gains even after finance minister Rachel Reeves cut the country’s growth forecast in half to one percent as she announced spending cuts, while raising the outlook for the subsequent three years. “She appears to have done the trick of not unnerving investors further,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Trump’s talk of tariff exemptions had earlier helped some Asian markets edge higher after recent slumps. Copper futures traded on New York’s Comex exchange touched a record high after Trump said he could impose duties on imports of the commodity within weeks, leading some investors to shift supply to the United States to avoid any eventual levies.

**Key figures around 1700 GMT:**

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.1 percent at 42,543.75 points

New York – S&P 500: DOWN 0.9 percent at 5,726.12

New York – Nasdaq Composite: DOWN 1.7 percent at 17,964

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.3 percent at 8,689.59 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 1.0 percent at 8,030.68 (close)

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 1.2 percent at 22,839.03 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.7 percent at 38,027.29 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.6 percent at 23,483.32 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: FLAT at 3,368.70 (close)

Euro/dollar: UNCHANGED from Tuesday at $1.0790

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2897 from $1.2943