Global stocks mostly rise as markets eye likely Fed rate cut ~ EconomyLens.com

New York (AFP) – Wall Street stocks concluded a positive week with another upbeat session Friday, while European equities also advanced following a European Central Bank interest rate cut. More data this week suggesting the Federal Reserve was winning the battle against inflation provided an extra kick for global equities after recent drops caused by worries of a possible US recession. All three major US indices finished solidly higher, with the broad-based S&P 500 ending at 5,626.02, up 0.5 percent for the day and more than four percent for the week.

“There were no negative surprises,” said CFRA Research’s Sam Stovall. “The market has continued to creep back up to the all time high level.” Earlier, European markets closed in the green, a day after the ECB cut its own rates for the second time this year as inflation cools. Asia’s main stock markets diverged as they closed out the week. The price of gold struck an all-time high of $2,583.45 per ounce, as lower interest rates tend to prop up the precious metal.

Among individual companies, Boeing shares fell 3.7 percent after Seattle region workers overwhelmingly rejected a four-year contract proposal, launching a strike that will shutter two major factories. Investors are focused on the highly anticipated Fed meeting on Wednesday after data this week showed US consumer inflation slowed more than expected in August to 2.5 percent.

Having slashed rates in the early months of the pandemic, the Fed began hiking them in 2022 as inflation started to take hold, and they kept lifting until rates hit a two-decade high. Now, with disinflation seemingly kicking in and the labor market softening, decision-makers are tipped to start cutting again, with debate on whether it will be a 25- or 50-basis-point move.

“Fears that the Federal Reserve may have kept interest rates too high for too long, thereby risking an economic ‘hard landing’ have dissipated,” said David Morrison, senior market analyst at financial services provider Trade Nation. Markets had panicked last month after weak US jobs figures raised concerns that the world’s largest economy could be heading towards recession. Analysts said the odds of a 50-basis-point cut have risen this week.

“Gold is the ultimate inflation hedge, so it has received a boost from prospects of a 50bp rate cut from the Fed,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at the XTB trading platform.