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Global stocks pressured ahead of Fed decision

Thomas Barnes by Thomas Barnes
December 16, 2024
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There are hopes that the US Federal reserve will lower rates in September. ©AFP

New York (AFP) – Wall Street stocks finished a lackluster week on a muted note Friday as concerns about rising Treasury bond yields competed with enthusiasm over artificial intelligence equities. Of the major indices, only the Nasdaq mustered a gain in Friday’s session. The tech-rich index was also the only one of the three leading US benchmarks to conclude the week higher.

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“Equities are kind of treading water,” said LBBW’s Karl Haeling. “A negative influence to some extent is the rise in bond yields.” The latest US consumer price index data released this week showed prices ticked higher in November, and the wholesale data also showed stubborn inflationary pressures.

“Yields rose to their highest levels in over two weeks as markets brace for the Federal Reserve’s final meeting of the year, reflecting concerns over sticky inflation,” said Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at online trading platform IG. There is also growing concern over the inflationary pressures from President-elect Donald Trump’s pledges to cut taxes and impose tariffs, as inflation still stands above the Fed’s target.

“While the markets still anticipate a rate cut from the Federal Reserve next week, the likelihood of a move in January has dropped,” said Patrick Munnelly, partner at broker Tickmill Group. The CME FedWatch tool shows the market sees a more than 75 percent chance that the Fed will hold rates steady in January.

In Europe, the Paris CAC 40 index ended the day down 0.2 percent after French President Emmanuel Macron named his centrist ally Francois Bayrou as prime minister, ending days of deadlock over finding a replacement for Michel Barnier. Frankfurt also dipped, with Germany’s central bank sharply downgrading its growth forecasts on Friday for 2025 and 2026. It predicted a prolonged period of weakness for Europe’s biggest economy.

London stocks were also lower after official data showed that the UK economy unexpectedly shrank for the second consecutive month in October. The euro recovered after flirting with two-year lows against the dollar following a warning Thursday by ECB president Christine Lagarde that the eurozone economy was “losing momentum”, cautioning that “the risk of greater friction in global trade could weigh on euro area growth”.

In Asia, Hong Kong and Shanghai both tumbled as investors were unimpressed with Beijing’s pledge to introduce measures aimed at “lifting consumption vigorously” as part of a drive to reignite growth in the world’s number two economy. President Xi Jinping and other key leaders said at the annual Central Economic Work Conference they would implement a “moderately loose” monetary policy, increase social financing, and reduce interest rates “at the right time”. The gathering came after Beijing in September began unveiling a raft of policies to reverse a growth slump that has gripped the economy for almost two years.

“We’re still not convinced that policy support will prevent the economy from slowing further next year,” said Julian Evans-Pritchard, head of China economics at research group Capital Economics. Among individual equities, chip company Broadcom surged nearly 25 percent after reporting a 51 percent jump in quarterly revenues to $14.1 billion behind massive growth in AI-linked business.

– Key figures around 2140 GMT –

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.2 percent at 43,828.06 (close)

New York – S&P 500: FLAT at 6,051.09 (close)

New York – Nasdaq Composite: UP 0.1 percent at 19,926.72 (close)

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.1 percent at 8,300.33 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 0.2 percent at 7,409.57 (close)

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.1 percent at 20,405.92 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.0 percent at 39,470.44 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 2.1 percent at 19,971.24 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 2.0 percent at 3,391.88 (close)

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0504 from $1.0467 on Thursday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2622 from $1.2673

Dollar/yen: UP at 153.60 yen from 152.63 yen

Euro/pound: UP at 83.19 pence from 82.59 pence

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 1.5 percent at $74.49 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: UP 1.8 percent at $71.29 per barrel

burs-jmb/st

© 2024 AFP

Tags: AIinflationWall Street
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