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Hong Kong, Shanghai soar on China stimulus as strong yen hits Tokyo

Andrew Murphy by Andrew Murphy
September 30, 2024
in Markets
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Tokyo's Nikkei index has taken a battering from a stronger yen after the Bank of Japan hiked interest rates this week for the second time in 17 years. ©AFP

Hong Kong (AFP) – Shares in Hong Kong and mainland China rocketed Monday, extending last week’s surge after Chinese authorities unveiled a raft of measures aimed at kickstarting the world’s number two economy. However, Tokyo plunged as much as five percent in reaction to Shigeru Ishiba’s election last week as the head of Japan’s ruling party, which boosted expectations the Bank of Japan will continue hiking interest rates.

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Shanghai jumped more than eight percent — its best day since 2008 — and Shenzhen more than 10 percent, while Hong Kong briefly leapt around four percent. Investors have been rushing back into the beaten-down markets in reaction to a series of economy-boosting stimulus out of Beijing over the past week. Among the measures unveiled were interest rate cuts, easing how much banks must keep in reserve, and softer rules on buying homes.

On Monday, three megacities — Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen — eased restrictions on buying homes, while six of China’s biggest banks said they would tweak interest rates on mortgages for existing home loans following a request to lower them from the central bank. Developers were among the best performers in Hong Kong, with Kaisa rocketing more than 80 percent, Sunac jumping more than 55 percent and Agile Group 19 percent stronger. Tech firms were also enjoying a healthy run-up, with e-commerce giant JD.com soaring more than 11 percent and rival Alibaba up almost eight percent.

The rally — which has seen Shanghai rise more than 20 percent in the past six trading days — comes a day before Chinese markets are closed for the Golden Week holiday. Harry Murphy Cruise, an economist at Moody’s Analytics, said the moves “signal growing unease about the health of China’s economy.” He added, “That officials brought forward economic discussions to this week’s Politburo meeting — rather than sticking to the December schedule — highlights the urgency of the problem.”

The need for stimulus support was highlighted Monday by data showing China’s factory activity shrank in September for the fifth successive month. Still, Kathleen Brooks, research director at broker XTB, said: “The market is not focused on this data, as it is measuring activity before the massive stimulus package; instead, October’s data will matter more for markets.”

The euphoria in China and Hong Kong was in stark contrast to Tokyo, where the Nikkei plunged as the yen strengthened in the wake of Ishiba’s victory. But while Ishiba is expected to maintain many of his predecessor Fumio Kishida’s policies, he has also said “there is room for raising the corporate tax,” while promising to revitalize rural regions. “Our view is that the basic economic policy philosophy will not change,” said Masamichi Adachi, UBS Securities chief economist for Japan.

Exporters were the big losers as the yen spiked to 141.65 per dollar in reaction to Ishiba’s win, which observers said would mean the central bank will likely press on with its monetary tightening campaign. The unit had been sitting around 146.50 before Friday’s vote. Sony fell nearly three percent, Toyota lost 7.6 percent and Tokyo Electron was eight percent lower.

Markets were mixed elsewhere in Asia, with Sydney, Bangkok and Singapore rising but Seoul, Taipei, Wellington, Mumbai, Manila and Jakarta in the red. London fell as data showed the UK economy grew less than initially estimated in the second quarter, with Paris and Frankfurt also down. Wall Street provided a tepid lead, even after data showed the personal consumption expenditures index — the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation — slowed to 2.2 percent in August, from 2.5 percent in July. The figures boosted hopes the central bank will announce another bumper rate cut at its next meeting, having slashed them 50 basis points earlier this month — the first reduction since the start of the pandemic.

Oil prices rose more than one percent as traders kept a close eye on events in the Middle East amid fears of a wider conflict as Israel strikes Hezbollah targets in Lebanon, Huthi rebels in Yemen, and keeps up its bombardment of Gaza. An attack on Friday killed Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and a senior Iranian general. Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on Sunday the killing “will not go unanswered.”

**Key figures around 0810 GMT**

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 4.8 percent at 37,919.55 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 2.4 percent at 21,133.68 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: UP 8.1 percent at 3,336.50 (close)

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.1 percent at 8,311.57

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 142.10 yen from 142.15 yen on Friday

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1175 from $1.1169

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3396 from $1.3375

Euro/pound: DOWN at 83.41 pence from 83.47 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.5 percent at $68.54 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.7 at $72.46 per barrel

New York – Dow: UP 0.3 percent at 42,313.00 (close)

© 2024 AFP

Tags: Chinaeconomic growthHong Kong
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