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Oil prices, stocks retreat as China weighs on sentiment

Thomas Barnes by Thomas Barnes
September 3, 2024
in Markets
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China's weakening economy raised concerns about its demand for oil. ©AFP

London (AFP) – Oil prices slumped more than three percent and stock markets retreated Tuesday as China’s struggling economy weighed on sentiment. A stream of indicators, including the latest on manufacturing, has highlighted weakness in the Chinese economy, the world’s second largest after the United States.

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China’s “only plan for recovery seems to be in exporting its way out of economic doldrums,” said John Evans, analyst at oil broker PVM. “Yet external demand flounders in the face of a global economy that on the whole is sputtering at best.” Oil demand has been disappointing elsewhere as well.

“The fact that recent data shows no signs of any acceleration in import demand in China, Europe or North America points to a situation where the oil market is not going to be as tight as expected a few months ago,” said market analyst Fawad Razaqzada at City Index and FOREX.com. With oil producers reluctant to cut output – and the OPEC oil cartel and its allies have even been considering boosting production – oil prices have been on a downward trend. Traders were awaiting US manufacturing figures Tuesday ahead of key American jobs data on Friday, hoping for a clearer picture on the pace of US interest-rate cuts set to begin this month.

“With a rate cut in September essentially a done deal, the speed of further cuts will depend on upcoming data,” said Razaqzada. He said the US manufacturing figures and jobs data would need to be quite weak to further weaken the dollar, which has already softened in anticipation of interest rate cuts.

Wall Street stocks slid after coming back from a three-day holiday weekend and solid gains on Friday that saw the Dow set a new closing record. “The negative disposition stems in part from some natural consolidation activity, which is being stirred by reminders that the month of September is the worst month, on average, for the stock market,” said Briefing.com analyst Patrick O’Hare.

In foreign exchange, the yen strengthened after Bank of Japan chief Kazuo Ueda restated his intention to lift interest rates again if inflation and the economy meet its forecasts. The bank’s surprise decision to hike in July, hours before the Federal Reserve indicated it was ready to begin cutting US borrowing costs, sparked a massive unwind of the so-called “yen carry trade,” in which investors used the cheap currency to buy high yielding assets like stocks.

In company news on Tuesday, shares in Cathay Pacific slipped as the Hong Kong carrier said that 15 of its Airbus A350 jets needed new engine parts after inspecting its entire fleet, which was grounded following a “first of its type” engine component failure. But shares in British engine manufacturer Rolls-Royce, whose Trent XWB-97 engines powered the planes, gained three percent after starting the week with a 6.5-percent drop as not all of Cathay’s A350s were affected.

– Key figures around 1330 GMT –

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.5 percent at 41,372.20 points

New York – S&P 500: DOWN 0.6 percent at 5,614.82

New York – Nasdaq Composite: DOWN 0.7 percent at 17,585.45

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.6 percent at 8,315.24

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 0.4 percent at 7,617.31

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.5 percent at 18,837.52

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 0.5 percent at 4,948.51

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: FLAT at 38,686.31 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.2 percent at 17,651.49 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.3 percent at 2,802.98 (close)

Brent North Sea Crude: DOWN 3.7 percent at $74.65 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 3.1 percent at $71.27 per barrel

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 145.68 yen from 147.01 yen on Monday

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1061 from $1.1067

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3143 from $1.3147

Euro/pound: DOWN at 84.17 pence from 84.18 pence

© 2024 AFP

Tags: Chinaoil pricesstock market
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