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Wall Street rallies, dollar drops as Fed chief fuels rate cut hopes

Andrew Murphy by Andrew Murphy
August 25, 2025
in Markets
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Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is set to deliver remarks during an annual gathering of central bankers, a key event for observers weighing the chances of a rate cut. ©AFP

New York (AFP) – Wall Street shares rallied Friday as US Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell left the door open to cutting interest rates, which also sent the dollar dropping against the euro and other major currencies. Investors had been eagerly waiting for Powell’s speech all week, hoping to hear hints that the Fed would cut rates at its next meeting in September to spur economic growth. New York’s three main indexes surged following his remarks, rebounding after a tech sell-off this week. European stock markets also got a bump in afternoon deals, though the gains were limited by the impact of President Donald Trump’s tariffs on the German economy, which shrank in the second quarter.

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In his speech at the annual symposium of global central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Powell warned that risks of higher inflation and a weakening jobs market meant a “challenging situation.” “Downside risks to employment are rising,” Powell said, adding that the effects of Trump’s tariffs on consumer prices “are now clearly visible.” “With policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance,” he said.

Powell has come under intense public pressure this year from Trump to lower rates. But the independent central bank has kept benchmark interest rates steady at a range of between 4.25 percent and 4.50 percent since its last reduction in December. In keeping rates unchanged, policymakers cited resilience in the labor market as they monitored the effects of Trump’s wide-ranging tariffs on the world’s biggest economy. “The market was pricing in roughly a 75 percent chance of a rate cut in September,” said Bret Kenwell, an investment analyst at eToro. But the odds according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool exceeded 80 percent late Friday.

Kenwell noted however that “rising inflation is still a risk and may prevent the Fed from moving as quickly as they’d like, but the committee is unlikely to stand by idly if we see further weakness in the jobs market.” The dollar fell against currencies such as the euro, pound, and yen, as lower returns make the greenback less appealing to foreign investors.

Oil prices inched up after rising more than one percent on Thursday, as investors weighed the potential for a peace deal in Ukraine more than three years after Russia’s invasion. Observers have been speculating over how a possible lifting of sanctions on Russia, a major oil producer, would impact markets. Trump on Thursday set a two-week timeframe for assessing peace talks between Moscow and Kyiv, following days of high-stakes diplomacy that saw him meet with Russian and Ukrainian counterparts in person, as well as several European leaders. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, however, told NBC television Friday there was “no meeting planned” between the Russian and Ukrainian presidents.

In corporate news, Deutsche Post shares fell 1.1 percent after the German postal service said it would restrict package deliveries to the United States due to Trump’s tariffs. France’s La Poste, owned by the French state, announced similar restrictions.

**Key figures at around 2030 GMT:**

New York – Dow: UP 1.9 percent at 45,631.74 points (close)

New York – S&P 500: UP 1.5 percent at 6,466.91 (close)

New York – Nasdaq: UP 1.9 percent at 21,496.54 (close)

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.1 percent at 9,321.40 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: UP 0.4 percent at 7,969.69 (close)

Frankfurt – DAX: UP 0.3 percent at 24,363.09 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.1 percent at 42,633.29 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.9 percent at 25,339.14 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: UP 1.5 percent at 3,825.76 (close)

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1722 from $1.1604 on Thursday

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3523 from $1.3412

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 146.94 yen from 148.37 yen

Euro/pound: UP at 86.69 pence from 86.52 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.2 percent at $63.66 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.1 percent at $67.73 per barrel

© 2024 AFP

Tags: economic growthFederal Reserveinterest rates
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