Hong Kong (AFP) – Oil prices fell Thursday, clawing back some of the previous day’s surge, as investors assessed the outlook for Middle East peace talks after the US and Iran exchanged fresh strikes and Donald Trump said their ceasefire was over. Crude soared Wednesday when the US president — in response to tit-for-tat attacks in the region already taking place — said the fragile truce between the foes was over. Washington also revoked a temporary sanctions waiver for Iranian oil. Both main contracts soared around eight percent Wednesday, with Brent topping $80 a barrel for the first time in two weeks, fanning fresh fears of a spike in inflation and a hit to the economy.
Trump ordered new strikes and warned of “much worse” if Tehran continues to attack vessels in the strait, through which a fifth of world oil usually passes. “This is in retribution for yesterday’s bombing of ships by Iran,” he said in a post on Truth Social. However, the US president said earlier that he expected the latest military flare-up to end quickly and left the door open to more talks. He also claimed Tehran had “called a little while ago” and that the Iranians wanted “to make a deal so badly.”
“Trump’s remarks set sparks flying — the comments underscored fears that we could see further escalation and a return to pre-MOU conditions,” said Neil Wilson at Saxo Markets, referring to the memorandum of understanding that paved the way for peace talks. However, he added: “For what it’s worth, I don’t think this is the base case as A) Trump is wont to throw around threats and B) both sides need to return to a kind of hazy pre-war ‘normality’.” But it clearly seems the risk of a total breakdown in negotiations has increased and markets are reflecting this fresh dynamic.
While the US and Iran continued to target each other’s positions in the region, traders took stock of the flare-up and began selling crude, pushing both main contracts down more than one percent in late Asian trade. They had been up more than one percent in the morning. Stock markets were mixed, though sentiment remained subdued as the latest geopolitical tensions come after an extended period of selling in the tech sector fueled by worries over extended valuations and when AI investments will see returns.
Seoul — the poster child of Asia’s AI-led tech boom this year — briefly added nearly two percent before paring back, but it remains susceptible to another selloff. The Kospi has tanked more than 20 percent from its record high touched on June 19. Tokyo added more than one percent, while Shanghai, Singapore, Wellington, Mumbai, Bangkok, and Jakarta also advanced, with Paris and Frankfurt. There were losses in Hong Kong, Sydney, Taipei, Manila, and London.
Attention will later Thursday be on South Korean chip titan SK hynix, whose US listing was more than seven times oversubscribed ahead of its planned debut on Friday. The firm is expected to announce the pricing for its American Depository Receipts and observers suggest it could raise as much as $28 billion from the sale. The firm’s Seoul-listed shares were up almost seven percent Thursday, though since hitting its record high last month it has lost more than 30 percent as it was at the forefront of the latest tech rout.
– Key figures around 0810 GMT –
West Texas Intermediate: 1.1 percent at $72.69 a barrel
Brent North Sea Crude: DOWN 1.2 percent at $77.07 a barrel
Seoul – Kospi: UP 0.6 percent at 7,291.91 (close)
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 1.4 percent at 67,743.85 (close)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.7 percent at 24,030.18 (close)
Shanghai – Composite: UP 1.7 percent at 4,036.59 (close)
London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.4 percent at 10,444.21
Dollar/yen: DOWN at 162.37 yen from 162.54 yen on Wednesday
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1434 from $1.1422
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3414 from $1.3396
Euro/pound: DOWN at 85.24 pence from 85.26 pence
New York – Dow: DOWN 1.1 percent at 52,348.39 (close)
© 2024 AFP
