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Dollar and oil drop after Trump’s election rout

Andrew Murphy by Andrew Murphy
November 4, 2026
in Markets
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Abdul El-Sayed claimed victory in his Senate race in Michigan as Democrats flipped a string of key seats to take control of both houses of Congress. ©AFP

London (AFP) – The dollar and oil prices dropped on Wednesday as traders digested President Donald Trump’s heavy defeat in US midterm elections that saw his Republican party lose control of Congress. Democrats seized control of both houses in a landslide victory that gives them the power to block legislation, launch investigations into Trump’s administration, and thwart his judicial and senior government appointments.

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“Investors are trying to get their heads around what a Democrat landslide means for financial markets,” noted Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell. “The big risk is uncertainty around how Trump could act in the coming months following such a result.” The dollar sank against other major currencies on fears the vote outcome could lead to US political gridlock, after Trump warned that he would become “Mr. Veto.” Technology firms also slumped amid suggestions Democrats could prioritize AI regulation.

But European stock markets posted gains in Wednesday morning trading. London, Frankfurt, and Paris all rose by more than one percent — investors brushing off official data showing eurozone inflation reaching a three-year high of 4.0 percent. That followed a largely solid performance by equities across Asia, though Tokyo ended lower as its tech sector struggled.

Tens of millions of Americans voted in the crucial polls pitched as a referendum on the White House, as anger grows at surging petrol prices, the impact of tariffs, and the Iran war. Chris Weston, analyst at broker Pepperstone, stressed that Trump retained “considerable executive authority” so the possible impact was “far from straightforward.” Bond yields avoided the volatility seen recently, while gold benefitted from its status as a safe haven investment.

Aside from the US vote, investors continued to follow third-quarter earnings. BMW said Wednesday it would step up planned job cuts as it reported a drop in third-quarter profit, hit by cutthroat competition and falling demand in China, the world’s largest car market. Google, meanwhile, said it planned to invest $15 billion in Malaysia over the next two years to build data centres and other infrastructure.

– Key figures at around 1130 GMT –

London – FTSE 100: UP 1.2 percent at 10,765.27 points

Paris – CAC 40: UP 1.5 percent at 8,137.66

Frankfurt – DAX: UP 1.5 percent at 26,249.32

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.4 percent at 62,188.63 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 1.7 percent at 23,919.50 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: UP 2.2 percent at 3,686.17 (close)

Brent North Sea crude: DOWN 1.2 percent at $102.36 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.8 percent at $95.42 per barrel

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1243 from $1.1191 on Tuesday

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3475 from $1.3413

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 158.54 yen from 158.75 yen

Euro/pound: UP at 83.45 pence from 83.43 pence

© 2024 AFP

Tags: Donald Trumpfinancial marketsus elections
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