Hong Kong (AFP) – Asian equities jumped Thursday after a three-day rout sparked by the Middle East war, but concerns about an extended conflict helped oil extend gains, and analysts warned of more volatility ahead. Seoul was again the standout, with the Kospi soaring 12 percent at one point as traders snapped up bargains following the previous two days’ near 20 percent collapse that put the index within reach of a bear market. South Korea’s president ordered on Thursday the activation of a $68 billion stabilisation fund as the Mideast crisis roiled markets.
The advances followed a positive day on Wall Street and in Europe as forecast-topping figures on US private-sector hiring and services industry activity provided some much-needed positive news. Global markets have been thrown into turmoil this week after the United States and Israel began strikes against Iran on Saturday, killing its supreme leader and sparking a wave of retaliatory attacks across the Gulf. Tehran also effectively shut down the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world’s crude and considerable liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies travel, sending prices soaring.
Both main oil contracts jumped more than three percent Thursday and are up around a fifth since Friday, stoking the chances of a fresh spike in inflation and dealing a blow to hopes for lower interest rates. The sell-off in equities came as traders were questioning elevated prices in the tech sector after an AI-fuelled rally that saw several markets hit multiple record highs. Among the best Asian performers was Seoul, which had advanced about 50 percent since the start of the year — having gained 76 percent in 2025 — thanks to a surge in chip giants Samsung and SK hynix. But it was at the forefront of this week’s collapse, shedding almost 19 percent Tuesday and Wednesday. While it clawed back a substantial part of those losses Thursday, rising 9.6 percent, observers remained cautious.
“Much of the move reflects technical traders stepping in to buy the dip after the market fell nearly 20 percent from its peak in just a matter of days,” Reed Capital Partners’ Gerald Gan said. “It remains unclear whether this marks a genuine inflection point for further upside or simply a bear-market rally.”
There were also gains elsewhere in the region, with Tokyo piling on 1.9 percent, while Taipei jumped more than two percent. Hong Kong, Shanghai, Sydney, Singapore, Wellington, Manila, Mumbai, Jakarta, and Bangkok were also well up though most pared their early rallies. London, Paris, and Frankfurt dipped at the open.
SPI Asset Management’s Stephen Innes warned: “The real driver remains the same fuse that lit the selloff in the first place: oil.” Brent grinding higher and West Texas Intermediate climbing toward the mid-$70s is not yet a supply crisis, but it is a reminder that energy remains the hidden central bank of the global economy. “Oil does not just move commodities. It reshapes rate expectations, equity valuations, and currency flows all at once.” He added that traders were having to weigh the geopolitical issues against data showing the US economy, the world’s biggest, continued to grow.
“The rebound we are seeing is not the end of volatility. It is the market taking a breath before deciding which narrative deserves the steering wheel. And right now the steering wheel still belongs to oil.” Concerns about how long the war will go on continue to weigh, adding to economic concerns, with Danish shipping giant Maersk saying it was suspending bookings in the Gulf until further notice. And Tehran denied a New York Times report that it had offered to negotiate with the United States to end the war, Bloomberg reported. Meanwhile, a US submarine torpedoed and sank an Iranian warship off the coast of Sri Lanka, extending the battle outside the Middle East.
National Australia Bank’s Ken Crompton added that oil traders were unmoved by US President Donald Trump’s pledge to protect ships through the Strait of Hormuz, which had provided a small glimmer of support Wednesday. “The fact is it’s just not feasible to reasonably protect all ships in the region,” he wrote, pointing out that Houthis in Yemen had carried out multiple attacks on ships in the past. Iran’s Revolutionary Guards claimed “complete control” of the Strait, with reports of additional vessels coming under attack Wednesday. Energy intelligence firm Kpler said oil tanker transits through the Strait had dropped by 90 percent from last week.
– Key figures at around 0815 GMT –
Seoul – Kospi: UP 9.6 percent at 5,683.90 (close)
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 1.9 percent at 55,278.06 (close)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.3 percent at 25,321.34 (close)
Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.6 percent at 4,108.57 (close)
London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.2 percent at 10,549.04
West Texas Intermediate: UP 3.3 percent at $77.14 per barrel
Brent North Sea Crude: UP 3.1 percent at $83.88 per barrel
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1606 from $1.1640 on Wednesday
Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3341 from $1.3373
Dollar/yen: UP at 157.25 yen from 157.06 yen
Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.98 pence from 87.03 pence
New York – Dow: UP 0.5 percent at 48,739.41 (close)
© 2024 AFP
