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Stocks rise on US inflation data, US-China trade hopes

David Peterson by David Peterson
October 24, 2025
in Markets
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Donald Trump and Xi Jinping are due to meet on the sidelines of the APEC summit in South Korea next week. ©AFP

London (AFP) – Stock markets broadly advanced Friday after US inflation data bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve would again cut interest rates next week, with fresh optimism over US-China trade relations further boosting confidence. After solid gains on Asian markets, European indexes showed more modest gains while Wall Street advanced strongly.

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Investors had keenly awaited a September reading on US inflation, delayed by weeks because of the government shutdown over a budget impasse, for guidance on further Fed rate cuts. The core consumer price index increase, which strips out food and petrol prices, came in below expectations at 3.0 percent, the Labor Department said. Although above the Fed’s inflation target of two percent, the reading confirmed to traders that officials are more worried about a softening labour market — cementing expectations of another 25 basis point cut next week.

“It is the jobs market that is becoming the more pressing issue for the Fed, with a clear chance that the ‘low hire, low fire’ economy becomes a ‘no hire, let’s fire’ story,” ING economists said in a research note. “We continue to look for a 25 basis point rate cut next week, with a further 25 basis point move in December and 50 basis points of cuts in early 2026,” they wrote.

Investors also welcomed a White House confirmation that President Donald Trump would meet China’s Xi Jinping next week, stoking optimism for a cooling of trade tensions between the economic superpowers. “News on trade is supporting risk sentiment across the board into the weekend,” said Neil Wilson, UK investor strategist at Saxo Markets. “But given this is Trump and brinkmanship goes hand in glove with showmanship, talks with Xi could go either way.”

And indeed the trade picture is not so optimistic everywhere we look. The Canadian dollar fell after Trump said he would halt all trade negotiations with the country,” Wilson noted. In Europe, encouraging data on business activity in the eurozone and Britain gave a slight lift but traders said many investors were booking profits heading into the weekend. The Paris CAC 40 index in particular was pulled down by selling of luxury conglomerate Kering, after the stock soared this week on better-than-expected earnings and the sale of its beauty division to L’Oreal.

Oil futures rose further after Washington imposed sanctions on two Russian energy giants in a bid to force Moscow into talks to end the Ukraine war. Analysts said the sanctions would sharply reduce supplies to countries that had continued to buy Russian oil, forcing them to turn to other suppliers.

Key figures at around 1545 GMT:

New York – Dow: UP 1.2 percent at 47,272.07 points

New York: S&P 500: UP 1.0 percent at 6,882.52

New York: Nasdaq: UP 1.2 percent at 23,218.22

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.7 percent at 9,645.62 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 0.2 percent at 8,225.63 (close)

Frankfurt – DAX: UP 0.1 percent at 24,239.89 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 1.4 percent at 49,299.65 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.7 percent at 25,160.15 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.7 percent at 3,950.31 (close)

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1627 from $1.1615 on Thursday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3296 from $1.3323

Dollar/yen: UP at 152.85 from 152.60 yen

Euro/pound: UP at 87.43 pence from 87.18 pence

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 1.0 percent at $66.64 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.9 percent at $62.32 per barrel

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© 2024 AFP

Tags: interest rate cutsUS inflation dataUS-China relations
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