New York (AFP) – Stocks mostly fell on Friday on news that the US economy created far more jobs than expected last month, making it more likely the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates to rein in stubbornly high inflation. Fed chairman Kevin Warsh made clear last week he saw rising prices as the main threat to the world’s biggest economy, leading many investors to pencil in a rate hike for the central bank’s upcoming September meeting. Key inflation data next week will reveal if those expectations prove correct, but the signs are lining up: the two-year US Treasury note — which best reflects near-term rate expectations — saw its yield jump after the jobs report, and the dollar rose.
The CME Group’s FedWatch tool also showed a rise in expectations that the Fed will raise interest rates following the release of the jobs data. The dollar also got a boost against major rival currencies. “The employment report was a bit of a shocker,” said Patrick O’Hare of Briefing.com. “The good news on nonfarm payrolls, though, was quickly interpreted as bad news for monetary policy,” he added, weighing on equities as traders consolidated positions ahead of the long Labor Day holiday weekend in the United States. Wall Street’s main indexes closed lower, and are due to resume trading Tuesday after Labor Day. Europe’s main indices ended mixed, while Asian markets rallied earlier in the day.
Further stoking inflation worries was a record high for diesel prices in the United States. Costs rose to $5.85 a gallon, well above levels seen before US-Israel strikes began against Iran six months ago. Oil prices eased back after surging this week on renewed fighting between the warring sides, further dimming the prospects for a full opening of the Strait of Hormuz to tanker traffic. Expectations that rising prices will force central banks worldwide to raise rates have sent government bond yields soaring. “In the Fed’s eyes, the labor market is holding up, which means inflation remains the bigger problem,” said Bret Kenwell, US investment analyst at eToro.
On the corporate front, shares in Volkswagen surged more than six percent, lifting the DAX 30 index, after the German car giant said management and unions had agreed to cut a total of 100,000 jobs by the end of the decade. Hit by US tariffs, patchy demand for electric cars, and above all fierce competition in and from China, Europe’s largest carmaker has been struggling for years. The job cuts amount to about 15 percent of Volkswagen’s global workforce.
– Key figures at around 2020 GMT –
New York – Dow: DOWN 0.5 percent at 53,414.25 points (close)
New York – S&P 500: DOWN 0.4 percent at 7,718.60 (close)
New York – Nasdaq: DOWN 0.3 percent at 26,506.99 (close)
London – FTSE 100: FLAT at 10,831.09 (close)
Paris – CAC 40: DOWN less than 0.1 percent at 8,278.77 (close)
Frankfurt – DAX: UP 0.2 percent at 26,046.40 (close)
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 1.3 percent at 65,020.94 (close)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 1.7 percent at 25,650.87 (close)
Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.3 percent at 3,930.12 (close)
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1613 from $1.1628 on Thursday
Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3516 from $1.3527
Euro/pound: DOWN at 85.92 pence from 85.96 pence
Dollar/yen: UP at 156.26 yen from 155.74 yen
Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.8 percent at $96.28 per barrel
West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.2 percent at $91.48 per barrel
© 2024 AFP
