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Stocks turn lower as traders eye US data for Fed signals

Natalie Fisher by Natalie Fisher
December 2, 2025
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Oil prices jumped after OPEC+ said it would pause hiking output in the first quarter of next year. ©AFP

New York (AFP) – European and US stock markets turned lower Monday as investors awaited key US data that could play a role in Federal Reserve deliberations ahead of an expected cut to interest rates next week. Wall Street’s three main indices finished lower, with the S&P 500 losing 0.5 percent after spending the entire session in the red. Frankfurt led declines in Europe, ending the day down one percent.

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Bitcoin extended its decline, dropping more than five percent to under $85,500 amid weaker risk appetite. The cryptocurrency remains well below its record high above $126,200 struck in early October. “Bitcoin tends to be a leading indicator for overall risk sentiment right now, and its slide does not bode well for stocks at the start of this month,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at trading group XTB.

Expectations that the Federal Reserve would continue easing monetary policy into the new year have recently helped equities mitigate lingering concerns about an artificial intelligence-fueled bubble. Markets see a nearly 90-percent chance of a third successive US rate cut on December 10, with traders closely watching this week’s American data on private jobs creation, services activity, and personal consumption expenditure — the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation.

Bets on a rate cut surged in late November after several Fed policymakers expressed greater concern over a weakening labor market than stubbornly high inflation. A survey released Monday of manufacturers by the Institute for Supply Management added to this sentiment. The reading fell to 48.2 from 48.7, marking the ninth straight month of contraction. Apparel, fabricated metal productions, and transportation equipment manufacturers were among those reporting contraction.

After last week’s healthy gains and Wall Street’s strong Thanksgiving rally, Asian equities closed mixed on Monday. Hong Kong, Shanghai, Singapore, and Bangkok rose, but Sydney, Seoul, Wellington, Manila, Mumbai, and Taipei dipped. Tokyo sank 1.9 percent as the yen strengthened on expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will lift interest rates this month.

Oil prices climbed more than one percent after OPEC+ confirmed it would not hike output in the first three months of 2026, citing lower seasonal demand. While the move was anticipated, “it was enough to catalyze a move which drove out the weaker short players,” said Trade Nation analyst David Morrison. Traders who bet that oil prices might have dropped if OPEC+ prevaricated had to cover their positions, thus helping push up prices further.

The OPEC+ decision comes amid uncertainty over the outlook for crude as traders look for indications of progress in Ukraine peace talks, which could lead to the return of Russian crude to markets. Shares in plane manufacturer Airbus fell by more than 10 percent at one point after reports of a new problem affecting metal fuselage panels, although they later cut losses after the company said the problem had been contained.

– Key figures at around 2110 GMT –

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.9 percent at 47,289.33 (close)

New York – S&P 500: DOWN 0.5 percent at 6,812.63 (close)

New York – Nasdaq Composite: DOWN 0.4 percent at 23,275.92 (close)

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.2 percent at 9,702.53 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 0.3 percent at 8,097.00 (close)

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 1.0 percent at 23,589.44 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.9 percent at 49,303.28 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.7 percent at 26,033.26 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.7 percent at 3,914.01 (close)

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1608 from $1.1598 on Friday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3211 from $1.3235

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 155.50 yen from 156.18 yen

Euro/pound: UP at 87.87 pence from 87.63 pence

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 1.3 percent at $63.17 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: UP 1.3 percent at $59.32 per barrel

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© 2024 AFP

Tags: cryptocurrencyFederal Reservestock market
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