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Stocks, dollar drop after US loses last triple-A credit rating

Thomas Barnes by Thomas Barnes
May 19, 2025
in Markets
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Chinese retail sales came in below expectations but industrial production beat forecasts. ©AFP

London (AFP) – US stocks fell with the dollar Monday as markets reacted to the United States losing its last gold-standard sovereign bond rating over a debt pile that could balloon further. The downgrade by Moody’s dealt a blow to markets, which had enjoyed a healthy run-up last week after Washington and China reached a deal to temporarily slash tit-for-tat tariffs. US stocks were down in midday trading, led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq, which fell around half a percent. That mirrored losses in Asia, where Tokyo and Hong Kong closed down.

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In Europe, London and Frankfurt erased early losses to close higher after UK and EU leaders reached a series of defense and trade ties at a landmark summit, the first since Britain’s acrimonious exit from the European Union. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said leaders had agreed on a “win-win” deal that his office said would add nearly £9 billion ($12 billion) to the British economy by 2040. The euro powered ahead despite the EU cutting its 2025 growth forecast for the eurozone, blaming US tariffs. The dollar slid nearly one percent against the euro and also fell heavily against the pound and yen.

Analysts said the downgrade by Moody’s late Friday — which follows similar moves by S&P in 2011 and Fitch in 2023 — could indicate investors will demand higher yields on US Treasuries, pushing up the cost of government debt. Yields rose on Monday. “It seems like the ‘Sell America’ narrative is making a comeback,” said Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at City Index and FOREX.com. The downgrade is “sending tremors through some global markets,” he said. “Investors are increasingly jittery about the cost implications of higher borrowing, especially given the backdrop of (US President) Donald Trump’s ongoing trade disputes and proposals for unfunded tax cuts.” Gold, seen as a haven investment, jumped more than one percent.

After a market rout sparked by Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs bazooka, investors had in recent weeks raced back to buy up beaten-down stocks as the White House tempered its hardball tariff approach. But the selling returned after Moody’s cut its US debt rating to Aa1 from Aaa, noting “the increase over more than a decade in government debt and interest payment ratios to levels that are significantly higher than similarly rated sovereigns.” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent dismissed the announcement, saying it was “a lagging indicator” and blaming Trump’s predecessor, Joe Biden. The news added to a frustrating time for Trump as his “big, beautiful bill” to extend tax cuts from his first term and impose new restrictions on welfare programs faces scrutiny in the Republican-controlled Congress. Independent congressional analysts say the package would add more than $4.8 trillion to the federal deficit over the coming decade.

In company news, Walmart returned to the list of firms feeling a rollercoaster effect under Trump, after the US president slammed the retail giant for warning of price increases due to his tariffs. Trump called on the company to “EAT THE TARIFFS” on social media, adding, “I’ll be watching.” Walmart shares fell Monday.

– Key figures at around 1530 GMT –

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.2 percent at 42,559.81 points

New York – S&P 500: DOWN 0.4 percent at 5,936.86

New York – Nasdaq Composite: DOWN 0.6 percent at 19,104.28

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.2 percent at 8,699.31 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: FLAT at 7,883.63 (close)

Frankfurt – DAX: UP 0.7 percent at 23,934.98 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.7 percent at 37,498.63 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.1 percent at 23,332.72 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: FLAT at 3,367.58 (close)

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1259 from $1.1154 on Friday

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3366 from $1.3278

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 144.85 yen from 145.92 yen

Euro/pound: UP at 84.19 pence from 83.97 pence

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.2 percent at $62.06 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: DOWN 0.1 percent at $65.46 per barrel

burs-jhb/js

© 2024 AFP

Tags: debttrade tensionsUS economy
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