Hong Kong (AFP) – Tech firms enjoyed a much-needed bounce on Thursday as they helped most Asian stock markets higher amid renewed hopes for the AI boom. However, oil prices rallied after the US and Iran ratcheted up Middle East tensions.
Investor appetite for all things artificial intelligence has been tested in recent months due to concerns about elevated valuations and questions regarding when the trillions pumped into the sector will see returns. This has hammered a number of previously high-flying companies that have hit multiple records this year, particularly those in South Korea and Japan. An earnings report from Google-parent Alphabet on Wednesday raised fresh concerns as it stated it would likely spend as much as $205 billion on AI this year, far more than expected.
Still, Asian traders took the opportunity to buy back into beaten-down stocks, with Seoul up more than four percent at one point, helped by rallies in chip giants SK hynix and Samsung, while Tokyo gained on the back of Advantest and Tokyo Electron. Hong Kong, Sydney, Taipei, Manila, and Jakarta also rose. Next week’s results from Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon will be scrutinized for their capital spending plans.
“Big Tech does not need to stop spending for the earnings season to be positive. But the financial trade-off must improve,” wrote Charu Chanana at Saxo Markets. “The best results will come from companies showing that AI demand is turning into revenue, margins, and cash flow. The next phase of the AI trade may reward those producing the highest returns from their infrastructure — not simply those writing the largest cheques.”
Traders are also growing increasingly nervous that the renewed strikes between US and Iranian forces could reignite inflation as oil prices creep higher. Brent on Wednesday jumped more than three percent and broke back above $95 for the first time, as President Donald Trump threatened to knock out one Iranian bridge or power plant in return for each attack on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated Iran would respond in kind to any attack on its infrastructure, emphasizing that “our defense doctrine is clear: eye for an eye”.
In a sign the conflict is spreading, Yemen’s Houthi rebels claimed to have struck two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea on Wednesday, potentially opening a new front in the war. The Red Sea escalation followed a Houthi threat to blockade Saudi ports, widening the pressure on key Middle East shipping routes already shaken by fighting over the Strait of Hormuz. Fighting over Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world’s oil and gas usually passes, has collapsed a preliminary US-Iran peace deal, with Tehran reimposing its blockade and firing on vessels that seek to transit.
The prospect of higher oil prices putting upward pressure back on inflation has raised the specter of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Investors will be observing next week’s policy meeting by the US central bank for some guidance on its plans. Money markets are currently pricing about a 30 percent chance of a rate increase, according to Bloomberg.
Adding to the uncertainty is the possibility of another global trade standoff after Trump’s trade envoy Jamieson Greer signaled Tuesday that Washington was set to impose new levies on dozens of countries soon. Eyes are also on Tokyo after the yen hit a fresh four-decade low against the dollar amid concerns at the Bank of Japan’s slow pace of monetary tightening and speculation that the Fed will hike soon, which would exacerbate an already wide interest rate differential. Rising oil prices and concerns over the country’s economy have added to pressure on the currency.
– Key figures around 0230 GMT –
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.5 percent at 66,424.44 (break)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.6 percent at 25,038.26
Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.1 percent at 3,864.20
West Texas Intermediate: UP 1.5 percent at $88.14 a barrel
Brent North Sea Crude: UP 1.9 percent at $95.83 per barrel
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1421 from $1.1411 on Wednesday
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3386 from $1.3372
Euro/pound: DOWN at 85.32 pence from 85.33 pence
Dollar/yen: DOWN at 163.06 yen from 163.15
New York – Dow: FLAT at 52,218.58 (close)
London – FTSE 100: UP 1.2 percent at 10,716.97 (close)
© 2024 AFP
