Hong Kong (AFP) – Most equities rose Friday on growing optimism that the worst of Donald Trump’s trade war is past after he reached a deal with Britain and suggested he could lower tariffs on China as officials prepare for high-stakes talks this weekend. The mood among investors has improved substantially since the US president unveiled his “Liberation Day” blitz last month, sending markets spinning and fueling global recession fears. Several countries have lined up to hold talks with Washington to avert the worst of the duties that range from 10 percent to as high as 145 percent on China — Trump’s main target.
On Thursday, Britain became the first to announce a deal that reduces tariffs on British cars and lifts them on steel and aluminum, while in return Britain will open up markets to US beef and other farm products. While there are several areas that still need discussing, Trump and Prime Minister Keir Starmer hailed the “historic” deal, with the US president saying it should be seen as a template for others. The “news gives hope that similar deals will be reached with a range of countries, thereby reducing the long-term damage potentially wrought by tariffs,” said Invesco’s David Chao.
But analysts said traders were more excited about the Republican leader’s comments on the upcoming talks with China in which he hinted at an easing of the stiff measures aimed at the world’s number two economy. That could see Beijing dial back some of its own 125 percent tariffs on US goods. Trump told reporters that he thought the negotiations would be “substantive,” and when asked if reducing the levies was a possibility, he said, “it could be.”
“We’re going to see. Right now you can’t get any higher. It’s at 145 percent so we know it’s coming down. I think we’re going to have a very good relationship.” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer are set to meet Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Switzerland on Saturday and Sunday, the first talks between the superpowers since Trump unveiled his tariffs. The US president also flagged efforts at home to push through the tax cuts he promised during the election campaign, adding, “This country will hit a point that you better go out and buy stock.”
Now, let me tell you this, this country will be like a rocket ship that goes straight up.” Stephen Innes, of SPI Asset Management, said: “As important as the UK deal was, Trump’s tone on China was the real signal for markets — and it handed the risk-on baton straight to Asia in a friendly, optimistic fashion. The president all but greenlit the idea that the days of punitive standoff might give way to negotiated momentum.”
Asian markets extended the week’s rally and tracked gains on Wall Street. Tokyo jumped more than one percent on hopes for Japan’s trade talks. However, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick warned agreements with Japan and South Korea could take longer to reach, while adding that there was “a lot of work” in striking a deal with India. Seoul edged down with Mumbai and Bangkok. But Hong Kong, Sydney, Wellington, Taipei, Manila, and Jakarta all advanced along with London, Paris, and Frankfurt.
Shanghai dropped as data showed exports to the United States plunged by around a fifth on-year in April as Trump’s tariffs kicked in. However, there was some cheer from other figures that showed total shipments rose far more than expected. Imports also fell far less than forecast. The return of some confidence to the market also helped bitcoin recover, pushing it back above $100,000 for the first time since February. The cryptocurrency struck $104,159 on Thursday, pushing it towards the record above $109,000 seen in January.
– Key figures at around 0810 GMT –
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 1.6 percent at 37,503.33 (close)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.4 percent at 22,867.74 (close)
Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.3 percent at 3,342.00 (close)
London – FTSE 100: UP 0.6 percent at 8,578.56
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1252 from $1.1230 on Thursday
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3263 from $1.3249
Dollar/yen: DOWN at 145.12 yen from 145.82 yen
Euro/pound: UP at 84.83 pence from 84.73 pence
West Texas Intermediate: UP 1.2 percent at $60.63 per barrel
Brent North Sea Crude: UP 1.1 percent at $63.55 per barrel
New York – Dow: UP 0.6 percent at 41,368.45 (close)
© 2024 AFP
